Present Prediction

The snow to training ratio is 1/5 so it gives you a good idea what the presents will be like. 

Player presents are kind of obvious. All of the presents that quick sell for 2140 should be 90s. They're 100% considered heroes due to the pack in the store being a hero or champion president, but I'm thinking there's a chance some could be 91 overall. The player presents that quicksell for 8440 snow are 93 and 94 overalls. If it has a large present bow it is a 93 and if it has an XL present bow it will be an LTD 94. 

The program presents I think are going to be the most volatile. After last year, they could absolutely be brutal and a massive coin sink. Using the snow to training ratio you should be able to get an idea whats in them. The code name present sells for 600 snow, so it's worth 3000 training. An 86 overall quicksell for 1700 training so an 86+ AKA pack does make sense here. Scary presents are 300 snow, so worth 1500 training. I want to say an 84+ would make sense here but these the cheapest present in the game. These are tough because an 82+ would make this pack absolutely garbage and sets the tone for the rest of the presents. If these are 82+ then that code name present is probably an 85+ and so on and it gets real bad real quick. I'll go over one last one, the replica present. This is a 1210 snow quicksell, so worth 6050 training. 88+ redux is the most likely here. 89 would be profit and 87 is just too low. Kind of sucks since you know where this heading, any program present quickselling for 3660 snow will be a 90+ pack. That would a massive loss considering an extra large costs over 250k. 93s will be going for less than that on Christmas day. 

The generic presents are easy to based on quicksell value. Smalls are 82+, mediums 85+, large 88+, and extra large 90+.

I hope I'm wrong. There's a chance EA bumps those packs by an overall or two considering this is a Christmas promotion. It's gone both ways in the past so who knows. There's also the higher than it should be chance EA complete screws this up and that happens to be in our favor. I don't know. I'm all in on presents though cause I think they're fun but I'm anticipating a complete beat down.

Good breakdown, thanks!  My guess would be EA screws it up somehow, but hoping for the best!

I’m seriously thinking about quick selling all my non 8440 snow presents and using that snow to buy the auctionable snow packs and selling the players while their prices are high. I think I could get better coin value doing this rather than selling those lower ovr present players on Christmas with a flooded market. I’m trying to go into the next promos with a large coin stack also.

The only non champion/hero presents im saving is the theme team ones, those have a good chance to hit big especially if there's a chance for those 95s in them

ChuckCh0der said:

The only non champion/hero presents im saving is the theme team ones, those have a good chance to hit big especially if there's a chance for those 95s in them

Those could actually be pretty decent. They all could be just depends on what route EA chooses to go.

Smasher83 said:

I’m seriously thinking about quick selling all my non 8440 snow presents and using that snow to buy the auctionable snow packs and selling the players while their prices are high. I think I could get better coin value doing this rather than selling those lower ovr present players on Christmas with a flooded market. I’m trying to go into the next promos with a large coin stack also.

Auctionable snow packs? First I’m hearing of this

TheWiiSuckz said:

The snow to training ratio is 1/5 so it gives you a good idea what the presents will be like. 

Player presents are kind of obvious. All of the presents that quick sell for 2140 should be 90s. They're 100% considered heroes due to the pack in the store being a hero or champion president, but I'm thinking there's a chance some could be 91 overall. The player presents that quicksell for 8440 snow are 93 and 94 overalls. If it has a large present bow it is a 93 and if it has an XL present bow it will be an LTD 94. 

The program presents I think are going to be the most volatile. After last year, they could absolutely be brutal and a massive coin sink. Using the snow to training ratio you should be able to get an idea whats in them. The code name present sells for 600 snow, so it's worth 3000 training. An 86 overall quicksell for 1700 training so an 86+ AKA pack does make sense here. Scary presents are 300 snow, so worth 1500 training. I want to say an 84+ would make sense here but these the cheapest present in the game. These are tough because an 82+ would make this pack absolutely garbage and sets the tone for the rest of the presents. If these are 82+ then that code name present is probably an 85+ and so on and it gets real bad real quick. I'll go over one last one, the replica present. This is a 1210 snow quicksell, so worth 6050 training. 88+ redux is the most likely here. 89 would be profit and 87 is just too low. Kind of sucks since you know where this heading, any program present quickselling for 3660 snow will be a 90+ pack. That would a massive loss considering an extra large costs over 250k. 93s will be going for less than that on Christmas day. 

The generic presents are easy to based on quicksell value. Smalls are 82+, mediums 85+, large 88+, and extra large 90+.

I hope I'm wrong. There's a chance EA bumps those packs by an overall or two considering this is a Christmas promotion. It's gone both ways in the past so who knows. There's also the higher than it should be chance EA complete screws this up and that happens to be in our favor. I don't know. I'm all in on presents though cause I think they're fun but I'm anticipating a complete beat down.

Great breakdown. I agree with this. I think the 3660 presents will likely be 90+. That's why I'm very much debating quick selling anything besides the 8440 player presents. I think one like Ultra Green is likely just a 90+ TOTW player. I don't think that really does a whole lot for most people. And even if it was 91+ it's still the same thing. The only other one I'm debating keeping is the Lineage for 5500. That one is likely a Football is Family pack so it should be a 92+. I do think presents this year will be better than last year, but last year literally every non-LTD present was basically worthless. Maybe this new batch of presents today will be better. But I'd rather quick sell and take my 3660 snow and put it towards upgrading somebody like the LOLB Sean Taylor since I know he's a guaranteed banger.

WoodyWoody said:

Auctionable snow packs? First I’m hearing of this

Yes, like the one for 12k snow that gives you a 93 ZC player….auctionable.

Smasher83 said:

Yes, like the one for 12k snow that gives you a 93 ZC player….auctionable.

Late reply but I'd stay away from those. Basically throwing 250k away in exchange for 450k. At that point I'd take shoot my shot on the presents.

Smasher83 said:

Yes, like the one for 12k snow that gives you a 93 ZC player….auctionable.

Snow is selling for 50-60 coins per snow.  At that rate, you would need to sell the 93 OVR for more than 700k just to break even.  There might have been a window yesterday when the Ghosts dropped, but I don't see it is profitable any longer.

Dirk26 said:

Snow is selling for 50-60 coins per snow.  At that rate, you would need to sell the 93 OVR for more than 700k just to break even.  There might have been a window yesterday when the Ghosts dropped, but I don't see it is profitable any longer.

It is 100% profit if you got your snow from challenges, field passes and winning games.

Wooooo said:

It is 100% profit if you got your snow from challenges, field passes and winning games.

Fair point, and one of the only ways to turn snow into coins.

Pulled a Frosty III

Any ideas QS for 8800

Thanks Merry Christmas

One Pride

wait so should i quicksell my other presents besides my ltd ones for snow? the the highest quicksell price after the 8440 ones is 2140 and then it just gets lower from there.